AMUSINGLY TRUE

One can easily notice the spurt in the common man's interest in the fields of economics and 
finance in the past decade or so, which has been fuelled by a number of factors. One of the 
important attributable factors among them is the relatively simplified economic theories 
presented these days by the contemporary economists such as Thomas Friedman, 
Malcolm Gladwell, Steven levitt,Nassim Taleb et al, who rather classify themselves as popular economists.
 
Among those theories, some of the most interesting or rather amusing ones have been compiled 
below. Amusing though, one cannot deny the veracity of the logics upon which these theories are 
based:

1.Latte Factor:- The latte factor derives it's name from the famous hot coffee drink and has 
been given by David Bach. It is used to describe the seemingly small daily expenses like 
latte,cigarettes,magazines etc. which add up to a significant amounts over time.David further 
argues that one can end rich, just by taking care of these small daily expenses. 

2.Big Mac index:- The Big Mac index is a measure of the purchasing power parity between two 
currencies(in simple words, to measure the currency conversion ratio of two economies).The 
index is based on the assumption that the Big Mac burger sold at McDonald's is a uniform 
product worldwide and therefore the ratio of the prices of the Big Mac burger sold in two 
countries should be the same as the relative value of their currencies.

3.Greater Fool theory:- The greater fool theory explains the irrational high price of a stock 
purchase, which the buyer buys not because he believes that the stock is worth it but because 
he believes that there must be a bigger fool in the market who would purchase the stock from 
him at an even higher price.

4.Golden Arches theory:- The golden arches theory of conflict prevention given by Thomas 
Friedman in his bestselling book "The World is Flat" states that no two countries went to a war 
with each other after each got a McDonald's. The logic behind this goes as that when a country
has reached an economic status where it's middle class is strong enough to support a McDonald's 
network, it will not be interested in fighting wars anymore. 

5.Dell theory of conflict prevention:- It could be said to be a predecessor of the golden 
arches theory and was given by Friedman in his earlier, rather less famous book "The Olive And 
The Lexus Tree". Going on the same lines, it states that no two nations that are both part of a 
major global supply chain like Dell’s, will ever fight a war against each other as long as they 
are both part of the same global supply chain. 

6.The wisdom of crowds:- James Surowiecki argues in the book titled by the same name that a 
group of people can better guess the weight of a cow or an oscar winner than even the experts 
can do,individually. The "Dumb Agent Theory" corroborates the theory further by stating that 
the selling and buying decisions of a large number of people will better reflect the true value 
of a stock than the selling-buying decision of an individual.

Comments

  1. gud work..... why such a long break?

    ReplyDelete
  2. @sushil: thnx, 'll nw try writing more often :)

    ReplyDelete
  3. a good post! the economic theories have indeed become simpler and easy to comprehend these days....but still these are to an easy nuts to crack ....its good to have such lucid and interesting sites to have a shot in this arena.

    ReplyDelete
  4. "the selling and buying decisions of a large number of people will better reflect the true value of a stock than the selling-buying decision of an individual."

    This is not true. In stock market 10% of people make money and 90% lose money because of this very herd mentality in buying stocks. They just get carried away inflating stock prices. One should NEVER EVER UNDER-ESTIMATE THE STRENGTH OF STUPID PEOPLE IN LARGE NUMBERS.

    ReplyDelete

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